Wise Dan's Breeders' Cup Scratch Will Be Felt at the Windows

Wise Dan's Breeders' Cup Scratch Will Be Felt at the Windows

Category : News - Wed 15/10/2014 - 00:47 EDT

The news that Wise Dan would be scratched from the 2014 Breeders Cup Mile due to a non-displaced fracture of the cannon bone comes as a major blow to thoroughbred racing and bettors who might have been looking for a single in the pick six or superfecta key.

The reigning Horse of the Year would have easily been the favorite in the Turf Mile – an event he won in 2012 and 2013 – and arguably appeared to be the most likely winner of any Breeders’ Cup race after his dominant Shadwell Turf Mile victory October 3 at Keeneland.  Each Breeders’ Cup develops its own storyline, and the 2014 renewal’s seems to be parity. 

Parity abounds in 2014 Breeders' Cup races 

Parity, no doubt, is essential for finding good betting value, but most handicappers find a greater sense of comfort when there are at least a few reliable horses on a card around which exotic wagers can be constructed.  Wise Dan would have been that horse for the third consecutive year while likely staying at or above even money.  Of the remaining likely Breeders’ Cup participants only Beholder (Distaff) and Goldencents (Dirt Mile) look like horse’s that are sure to fire huge efforts. 

Beholder and Goldencents anchor respective divisions 

Beholder and Goldencents will both attempt to repeat in their respective divisions and both have held their form remarkably well since last year’s triumphs.  In other words, neither horse requires handicapper’s to take a leap of faith at the betting windows given their accomplishments – both recent and past.  While bettors are permanently fixated on catching the next big thing, they would be wise to take what is given. In the case of the 2014 Breeders’ Cup, Beholder and Goldencents are the most reliable horses to use in exotic bets with the departure of Wise Dan.  

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