The Form and Kentucky Derby Betting Tips for Newbies
Category : News
Fri 06/05/2016 - 19:39 EDT
So you've decided to bet the 2016 Kentucky Derby, but the form chart is all Greek to you? Here are a few things to consider.
It takes time for someone to pick up a racing form chart and understand what all the information means – often even experienced handicappers tend to use the information they understand best, and ignore the rest. But for someone new to the game, you have to start to somewhere, and here are a few basics to help you bet the Kentucky Derby.
Speed ratings separate fast from faster
Every type of form chart has some kind of speed rating for each horse in each of its last races. The premise is simple – the higher the number, the faster the horse ran relative to other horses in the race and relative to other races at the same distance over the same track. Speed ratings are generally adjusted for the conditions of the track, which is why you’ll often see a horse with a lower rating but a faster clock time. The horse may have been running on a day when the track was particularly “fast” based on the time of that day’s races. Another important factor is simply how well the horse has done racing under similar conditions – has the horse won previously either at the track or at the distance? The second is a moot point in the Kentucky Derby, as all the horse will be running 1 1/4 miles for the first time. Still, it’s better for a horse to be running well at the end of a 1 1/8 mile race – even if it didn’t win the race – than to be dropping back.
How has the horse done against its competiton?
Another important factor on Derby day is the level of competiton the horses have faced. Many of the Derby horses have already raced against each other, and so it’s easy to tell how they have done against their competion in those races. However, just because one horse has beat another in the past, doesn’t gaurantee they will do it again, and so this is where reading the “trip notes” come in. Was a horse blocked as they began their charge for the front? Did the horse break poorly from the gate, or was he forced to go wide around the turns. And given a change in those conditions, would the race result have been different? And is horse A showing improvement from race to race, while horse B seems to have leveled off?
One race will not make you a handicapping expert, but just these few inportant points will help make an informed choice when you go to the betting window.
After all the drama of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs, the racing scene shifts to Pimlico Race Course in anticipation of the running of the 2019 Preakness Stakes. A couple of the high-profile contenders from the Derby are expected in the field, as well as a number of new shooters that add to the handicapping puzzle and could provide good betting value.
The field has been established for the 2016 running of the Belmont Stakes and of the thirteen contenders, there are four horses who competed in the Preakness Stakes (G1) and are moving on to the third jewel of the Triple Crown.
Wise guys who liked Stradivari in the Preakness have every right to maintain their enthusiasm for the Todd Pletcher-trained colt in the Belmont Stakes where the intriguing runner will likely make his next start.
The 2016 edition of the Preakness Stakes is in the record books and horse racing fans will have to go another year without a Triple Crown on the line. Exaggerator was able to defeat his rival and step into the spotlight with a victory at Pimlico Race Course.